Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.676338 2.809893 2.949999 3.108552 3.283762 3.472355 3.691917
2025-11-02 2.453782 2.637173 2.838410 3.077786 3.357745 3.678709 4.080482
2025-11-09 2.243111 2.450131 2.684626 2.973959 3.327374 3.753664 4.321390
2025-11-16 2.089742 2.312049 2.570356 2.898852 3.315297 3.840874 4.582746
2025-11-23 1.992196 2.229775 2.512326 2.881986 3.367762 4.009364 4.972453
2025-11-30 1.918766 2.169707 2.474437 2.883611 3.439873 4.208074 5.436880
2025-12-07 1.836541 2.092669 2.408621 2.841420 3.445745 4.311204 5.773020
2025-12-14 1.744325 1.997693 2.313531 2.752064 3.375792 4.292310 5.903642
2025-12-21 1.708405 1.971582 2.304914 2.777487 3.469412 4.529304 6.523242
2025-12-28 1.681788 1.955427 2.307488 2.817161 3.585976 4.816912 7.316575
2026-01-04 1.616128 1.885291 2.234011 2.743615 3.522878 4.796749 7.482826
2026-01-11 1.586400 1.860980 2.220958 2.755593 3.592847 5.013373 8.227082
2026-01-18 1.561698 1.846158 2.225274 2.801330 3.735054 5.410152 9.656553
2026-01-25 1.520874 1.808239 2.195985 2.795513 3.793832 5.668192 10.926486
2026-02-01 1.460801 1.741873 2.123520 2.718941 3.724521 5.659373 11.413199
2026-02-08 1.410532 1.687142 2.065261 2.660905 3.682445 5.702319 12.133227
2026-02-15 1.377661 1.655094 2.037998 2.649652 3.722559 5.932937 13.793699
2026-02-22 1.351250 1.630872 2.020721 2.652800 3.789033 6.240618 16.248677
2026-03-01 1.316089 1.593032 1.981611 2.617613 3.779131 6.363652 18.041377
2026-03-08 1.271901 1.541096 1.919642 2.541283 3.682950 6.251612 18.316023
2026-03-15 1.256481 1.529390 1.917066 2.563476 3.781978 6.672516 23.328602
2026-03-22 1.245019 1.522797 1.921669 2.597778 3.909449 7.217150 32.702064
2026-03-29 1.209935 1.481131 1.871285 2.534532 3.827859 7.126082 34.164228